Budapesti Műszaki és Gazdaságtudományi EgyetemÉpítőmérnöki Kar - építőmérnök képzés 1782 óta

The Danube River is the most international catchment of the World, chaining 4 European capitals and gathering water from 16 countries. The river is a lifeline, it provides water, energy, and other ecosystem services for millions of people. Due to the high variety of services provided (energy production, drinking water resource, cooling water for power plants, disposal medium for wastewater, irrigation resource, etc.), future river discharge is key factors for the affected countries and deeply influences their adaptation capacity. 

 

The proposed PhD research targets producing stochastic discharge forecasts for selected Danube countries (including Hungary) based on modifying an existing regional hydrological model and running it under forcing of various climate models. Besides natural factors, anthropogenic adaptation measures of the upstream countries, such as strategies to retain water or to enhance the production of renewable energy should be considered and formulated into socioeconomic scenarios contributing to model forcing. As a synthesis, a blueprint for sustainable water usage and measures increasing resilience of water users should be developed.